ROI on stakes
-7%
flat 1u per pick: -7%
Record
Every pick ever published, both tiers, wins and losses. 40 picks in this view. Premium picks that have not started show only the game and the start time.
All time
16-18-1
-1.9u on 28u staked
Beat the close
46%
avg closing line value -0.5% · 35 picks
Hit rate 47% with a 95% range of 31% to 63% over 35 settled picks. Settled picks only, our stake sizes (1u = 1% of bankroll), since 2026-10-21. Full record.
| Group | Settled | W-L-P | Void | Hit rate | 95% range | Staked | P&L | ROI on stakes | Flat ROI | Avg odds | Avg CLV | Beat close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 35 | 16-18-1 | 0 | 47.1% | 31%–63% | 27.75u | -1.87u | -6.8% | -6.9% | 2.02 | -0.5% | 46% |
| Premium | 0 | 0-0-0 | 0 | – | – | 0.00u | +0.00u | – | – | – | – | – |
| Free | 35 | 16-18-1 | 0 | 47.1% | 31%–63% | 27.75u | -1.87u | -6.8% | -6.9% | 2.02 | -0.5% | 46% |
| Since launch (2026-10-27) | 10 | 4-6-0 | 0 | 40.0% | 17%–69% | 7.00u | -1.00u | -14.3% | -20.0% | 2.07 | -3.0% | 30% |
| Before launch (tiers assigned afterwards) | 25 | 12-12-1 | 0 | 50.0% | 31%–69% | 20.75u | -0.88u | -4.2% | -1.5% | 2.00 | +0.5% | 52% |
| NHL | 3 | 2-1-0 | 0 | 66.7% | 21%–94% | 2.25u | +0.70u | +31.1% | +31.1% | 1.97 | +5.0% | 100% |
| NFL | 5 | 2-3-0 | 0 | 40.0% | 12%–77% | 5.75u | -1.54u | -26.8% | -25.0% | 1.88 | -1.3% | 20% |
| NBA | 17 | 8-9-0 | 0 | 47.1% | 26%–69% | 11.75u | -1.22u | -10.4% | -8.2% | 1.98 | -2.3% | 35% |
| MLB | 6 | 3-3-0 | 0 | 50.0% | 19%–81% | 4.25u | +0.48u | +11.4% | +8.0% | 2.15 | -2.9% | 33% |
| Soccer | 4 | 1-2-1 | 0 | 33.3% | 6%–79% | 3.75u | -0.30u | -7.9% | -37.9% | 2.30 | +7.4% | 100% |
Cumulative units
AllPremiumFree
Pick log
| Date | Tier | Published (UTC) | Start (ET) | Game | Market | Selection | Odds · book | Close | CLV | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | free | 2026-10-29T11:14:45Z seen 2026-10-29T15:00:34Z | Oct 29, 10:10 PM ET | NBA · Memphis Grizzlies @ Portland Trail Blazers | Player prop · points | Toumani Camara Over 11.5 points | 2.02 (+102) Pinnacle | – | – | open | – |
| 2026-10-29 | free | 2026-10-29T14:33:03Z seen 2026-10-29T15:00:34Z | Oct 29, 8:10 PM ET | NBA · Sacramento Kings @ New Orleans Pelicans | Player prop · points | Zach LaVine Under 21.5 points | 2.05 (+105) Bovada | – | – | open | – |
| 2026-10-29 | free | 2026-10-29T14:33:03Z seen 2026-10-29T15:00:34Z | Oct 29, 8:10 PM ET | NBA · Sacramento Kings @ New Orleans Pelicans | Player prop · rebounds | Domantas Sabonis Under 14.5 rebounds | 1.80 (-125) Bovada | – | – | open | – |
| 2026-10-29 | free | 2026-10-29T14:33:03Z seen 2026-10-29T15:00:34Z | Oct 29, 8:10 PM ET | NBA · Cleveland Cavaliers @ Atlanta Hawks | Player prop · points | Jalen Johnson Under 21.5 points | 2.00 (+100) Bovada | – | – | open | – |
| 2026-10-29 | free | 2026-10-29T14:32:20Z seen 2026-10-29T15:00:34Z | Oct 29, 7:37 PM ET | NHL · Chicago Blackhawks @ Detroit Red Wings | Player prop · assists | Roman Kantserov Under 0.5 assists | 1.37 (-271) Pinnacle | – | – | open | – |
| 2026-10-28 | free | 2026-10-28T14:18:34Z seen 2026-10-28T15:00:36Z | Oct 28, 8:10 PM ET | NBA · Houston Rockets @ Milwaukee Bucks | Player prop · points | Ryan Rollins Over 13.5 points | 1.87 (-115) Bovada | 1.76 | -0.1% | lost | -1.00u |
| 2026-10-28 | free | 2026-10-28T14:33:48Z seen 2026-10-28T15:00:36Z | Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET | MLB · Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays | Player prop · total bases | Christian Yelich Over 1.5 total bases | 2.85 (+185) Bovada | 2.63 | +0.7% | lost | -0.50u |
| 2026-10-28 | free | 2026-10-28T14:18:34Z seen 2026-10-28T15:00:36Z | Oct 28, 7:10 PM ET | NBA · Philadelphia 76ers @ Indiana Pacers | Player prop · assists | LeBron James Over 6.5 assists | 2.10 (+110) Bovada | 1.98 | -1.6% | won | +0.82u |
| 2026-10-28 | free | 2026-10-28T14:18:34Z seen 2026-10-28T15:00:36Z | Oct 28, 7:10 PM ET | NBA · Philadelphia 76ers @ Indiana Pacers | Player prop · points | Tyrese Maxey Over 24.5 points | 2.00 (+100) Polymarket | 1.93 | -3.1% | won | +0.75u |
| 2026-10-28 | free | 2026-10-28T14:18:34Z seen 2026-10-28T15:00:36Z | Oct 28, 7:10 PM ET | NBA · Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks | Player prop · points | Davion Mitchell Over 12.5 points | 2.05 (+105) Bovada | 2.30 | -18.8% | lost | -0.75u |
| 2026-10-27 | free | 2026-10-27T11:14:41Z seen 2026-10-27T15:00:37Z | Oct 27, 8:10 PM ET | NBA · Sacramento Kings @ San Antonio Spurs | Player prop · rebounds | Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 rebounds | 2.05 (+105) Bovada | 1.97 | -3.2% | lost | -0.50u |
| 2026-10-27 | free | 2026-10-27T14:33:40Z seen 2026-10-27T15:00:37Z | Oct 27, 8:07 PM ET | NHL · Boston Bruins @ Carolina Hurricanes | Player prop · shots on goal | Jordan Martinook Under 1.5 shots on goal | 1.83 (-120) Bovada | 1.65 | +4.9% | won | +0.62u |
| 2026-10-27 | free | 2026-10-27T14:34:37Z seen 2026-10-27T15:00:37Z | Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET | MLB · Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays | Player prop · outs recorded | Griffin Jax Over 11.5 outs recorded | 2.07 (+107) Pinnacle | 2.18 | -10.2% | won | +0.80u |
| 2026-10-27 | free | 2026-10-27T14:34:37Z seen 2026-10-27T15:00:37Z | Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET | MLB · Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays | Player prop · total bases | Richie Palacios Over 0.5 total bases | 1.95 (-105) Pinnacle | 1.93 | -3.7% | lost | -0.50u |
| 2026-10-27 | free | 2026-10-27T14:33:40Z seen 2026-10-27T15:00:37Z | Oct 27, 7:07 PM ET | NHL · Columbus Blue Jackets @ Philadelphia Flyers | Player prop · points | Charlie Coyle Over 0.5 points | 1.97 (-103) Bovada | 1.77 | +4.9% | lost | -0.75u |
| 2026-10-26 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-26T14:38:58Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 26, 9:37 PM ET | NHL · Detroit Red Wings @ Edmonton Oilers | Player prop · shots on goal | Kasperi Kapanen Under 1.5 shots on goal | 2.10 (+110) Bovada | 1.87 | +5.0% | won | +0.82u |
| 2026-10-26 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-26T11:15:25Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 26, 8:00 PM ET | MLB · Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays | Player prop · total bases | Ben Williamson Under 0.5 total bases | 2.46 (+146) Pinnacle | 2.25 | +3.0% | won | +0.73u |
| 2026-10-26 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-26T14:39:58Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 26, 7:40 PM ET | NBA · Dallas Mavericks @ Miami Heat | Player prop · points | Bobby Portis Over 11.5 points | 2.10 (+110) Bovada | 2.00 | -2.5% | lost | -0.75u |
| 2026-10-26 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-26T14:39:58Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 26, 7:40 PM ET | NBA · Chicago Bulls @ Boston Celtics | Player prop · points | Jalen Smith Over 10.5 points | 1.91 (-110) Bovada | 1.87 | -4.5% | lost | -1.00u |
| 2026-10-26 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-26T14:39:58Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 26, 7:10 PM ET | NBA · Minnesota Timberwolves @ Cleveland Cavaliers | Player prop · points | Jaden McDaniels Over 13.5 points | 1.69 (-145) Bovada | 1.58 | +1.3% | won | +0.86u |
| 2026-10-25 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-25T11:17:34Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | NFL · Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions | Player prop · rush attempts | Jahmyr Gibbs Under 20.5 rush attempts | 1.91 (-110) Bovada | 1.84 | -0.8% | lost | -1.25u |
| 2026-10-25 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-25T11:17:34Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NFL · Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers | Player prop · receiving yards | John Metchie III Over 10.5 receiving yards | 1.83 (-120) Bovada | 1.72 | +2.2% | won | +1.04u |
| 2026-10-25 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-25T11:17:34Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NFL · New York Giants @ Houston Texans | Player prop · rushing yards | Cam Skattebo Over 28.5 rushing yards | 1.92 (-109) Pinnacle | 1.86 | -1.7% | won | +0.92u |
| 2026-10-25 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-25T11:17:34Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NFL · Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings | Player prop · rushing yards | Aaron Jones Over 38.5 rushing yards | 1.83 (-120) Bovada | 1.84 | -4.7% | lost | -1.25u |
| 2026-10-25 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-25T11:17:34Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | NFL · Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints | Player prop · rushing yards | Alvin Kamara Over 16.5 rushing yards | 1.89 (-112) Pinnacle | 1.84 | -1.6% | lost | -1.00u |
| 2026-10-24 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-24T11:15:12Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 24, 8:10 PM ET | NBA · Washington Wizards @ Chicago Bulls | Spread | Chicago Bulls +2.5 | 1.82 (-122) Polymarket | 1.65 | +7.4% | lost | -0.50u |
| 2026-10-24 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-24T11:15:12Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 24, 8:10 PM ET | NBA · San Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Dallas Mavericks +11.5 | 2.17 (+117) Polymarket | 2.51 | -17.1% | lost | -0.50u |
| 2026-10-24 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-24T11:15:18Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 24, 8:00 PM ET | MLB · Tampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers | Total | Over 6.5 | 1.95 (-105) Polymarket | 1.98 | -4.5% | won | +0.95u |
| 2026-10-24 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-24T11:21:49Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET | Soccer · Birmingham City @ Cardiff City | Total · 1st half | Over 1 | 1.59 (-170) Bovada | 1.52 | +1.3% | push | +0.00u |
| 2026-10-24 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-24T11:21:49Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 24, 7:30 AM ET | Soccer · Manchester City @ Aston Villa | Team total | Aston Villa team total Over 0.5 | 1.36 (-275) Bovada | 1.27 | +4.3% | won | +0.45u |
| 2026-10-23 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-23T11:14:01Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 23, 10:10 PM ET | NBA · Portland Trail Blazers @ Sacramento Kings | Spread | Portland Trail Blazers -7.5 | 1.87 (-115) Bovada | 1.63 | +11.1% | won | +0.43u |
| 2026-10-23 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-23T11:14:01Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 23, 10:10 PM ET | NBA · Memphis Grizzlies @ Golden State Warriors | Total | Under 235.5 | 1.92 (-108) Polymarket | 2.03 | -9.0% | won | +0.46u |
| 2026-10-23 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-23T11:14:01Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 23, 9:40 PM ET | NBA · Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Houston Rockets +4.5 | 2.13 (+113) Polymarket | 2.02 | +2.3% | won | +0.56u |
| 2026-10-23 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-23T11:14:29Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 23, 8:08 PM ET | MLB · Tampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers | Total | Over 5.5 | 1.61 (-164) Polymarket | 1.61 | -2.7% | lost | -1.00u |
| 2026-10-23 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-23T11:14:01Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 23, 7:10 PM ET | NBA · Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers | Total | Under 236.5 | 2.17 (+117) Polymarket | 2.14 | -2.3% | won | +0.59u |
| 2026-10-21 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-21T11:14:44Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 21, 10:10 PM ET | NBA · Phoenix Suns @ Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Phoenix Suns +3.5 | 1.91 (-110) Bovada | 1.98 | -5.9% | lost | -0.75u |
| 2026-10-21 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-21T11:14:44Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 21, 8:10 PM ET | NBA · Utah Jazz @ Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Memphis Grizzlies +2.5 | 1.72 (-138) Polymarket | 1.62 | +4.3% | won | +0.54u |
| 2026-10-21 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-21T11:14:44Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 21, 7:10 PM ET | NBA · Milwaukee Bucks @ Washington Wizards | Total | Under 237.5 | 2.13 (+113) Polymarket | 1.99 | +3.4% | lost | -0.50u |
| 2026-10-21 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-21T11:17:22Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 21, 3:00 PM ET | Soccer · Feyenoord Rotterdam @ Real Betis | Spread | Feyenoord Rotterdam +0.75 | 2.25 (+125) Bovada | 1.95 | +13.1% | half lost | -0.25u |
| 2026-10-21 | free pre-launch | 2026-10-21T11:17:22Z seen 2026-10-26T18:48:33Z | Oct 21, 3:00 PM ET | Soccer · Arsenal @ Bayern Munich | Moneyline | Arsenal | 3.30 (+230) Bovada | 2.89 | +10.9% | lost | -0.50u |
All 40 picks shown. Show the latest 25
CLV = odds taken × fair closing probability − 1, where the close is the sharp book's last pre-start price. Void picks keep their CLV. Half results on quarter-line totals count half a stake.